Look the transfer market is generally tricky. Rarely do you get an opportunity to land a highly productive proven player who competed against high majors.
So when Kansas got Malik Newman or the Lawson brothers they weren't really taken a chance.
But that is the exception. Mostly they fall into 2 categories: 1) Productive players from low or mid major programs who believe they can play at a higher level but still need to prove it (Dixon, Caraher, Burke?) or 2) High major players who simply did not produce for various reasons but believe in a different situation will flourish (Simon, Clark, Owens, Keita). But there are questions there about why they ultimately didn't play much or produce much. Wright falls into no. 2.
So there are questions for both and that is why it can be a crapshoot.