I do agree with your assessment that the floor is likely higher than the last staff -- I can't imagine this current staff having a season with only 1 win in conference or a worse conference record than norm roberts.
I doubt though that people will be satisfied if the ceiling is lower than the previous staff. The best season they put together was an 8-10 conference record and last team into the NCAA tournament. If mike anderson doesn't manage to make it into the NCAA tournament over the next 4 years, I imagine virtually everyone will be calling for him to be fired.
steve lavin got fired after 5 years, and he made the ncaa tournament 2x, the nit 2x, and had an overall winning record in conference. You may be over-estimating SJU's ability to accept mediocrity (even if they should).
This is kind of my point that we are in this perpetual state of we give a 1-2 season grace period then get unsatisfied with year 3-4 not meeting expectations and blow it up year 5.
- Lavin should have made adjustments to staff and administration should have bridged disconnect of Lavin on campus. Lavin had a lot of personal stuff going on that I think impacted his performance which is unfortunate but think he would have figured out a way to salvage it.
- Mullin should have made adjustments to staff as well and administration should have given him an extension instead of being lame duck. When you let Lavin go you knew Mullin would be an experiment and they should have doubled down and stayed committed to that.
- Anderson's best chance was to win last year and ride that momentum into this year. He didn't, the recruiting class is meh, but its not all bad but it's far from the level it needs to be to be contenders in the Big East. If this year is a sub-par then following year is likely going to be similar. If year 4 is better than year 3 but still not great then what?
These are my fears, concerns. If someone says we're going to be so much better this year and who knows we could...but I don't understand off what merit?