http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/stjo/sports/m-baskbl/auto_pdf/2009-10_MBBSked_091009.pdf no matter how i analyze the STJ schedule, the scenario i see this season is 21-11 (11-9 BE, including 1 BET win). i cannot be any more optimistic unless i see them play.
OOC losses will be @ Siena and @ Duke
i predict we win the holiday festival with wins against hofstra and difficult ivy league champions Cornell
as far as the big east goes:
due to our vets, we should collect a high home win % with home losses VILL, WV.
and wins with PROV, CINCY, DP, LOUIS, SH, MARQ, PITT
i have us winning 3 road games @ USF, RUT, DEP
with losses @ LOUIS, GTOWN, UCONN, PITT, ND, SYR
the win loss home/away is almost an inverse relation, but i think with the only team returning all 5 starters in the BE, we will be good enough to win @ home. and split the series with louis, pitt and sweep DP.
1 BET win ( we had one win last year, im assuming best case, we can win 1 tourney game, realistically speaking)
the newbie that will be the biggest contributer should be Dwight Hardy. with a depleted BE conference and a vet squad, i cannot see this team doing worse than last year or bad, but who knows with norm.
with 21-11 record, most likely NIT,
how do we get to the dance?
we need to acomplish 3 miraculous tasks....
beat either siena or duke
steal 1 away victory in the big east that i dont have predicted
win 1 more BET game....
that means 24-9 prob not realistic, but that is the scenario for the dance.
with all that being said, i agree with pmg, i have no confidence in norm, but at some point, if it does click with the coach, it should click with the players on the floor. i have more confidence in the players than norm himself. my call falls within consensus...20 reg season wins, 1 BET win..
lets see what happens on friday.