I expect the NIT. There is (almost) zero experience returning.
Lavin himself told me they'd be "ducklings", but to watch out for 2012-2013.
Over the years, I've learned not to expect much from players during their first year.
Hopefully, no one player will be given the brunt of the attention. If they all go through it together with an even amount of pressure, we might wind up surprised, but I still tend to lean towards the idea of being reasonable.
They are all basically freshman, and they've never played together before.