Here are a few coaches first 5 years at their current schools:
A.
1980–81 17–13 6–8 T–5th NIT Quarterfinals
1981–82 10–17 4–10 T–6th
1982–83 11–17 3–11 7th
1983–84 24–10 7–7 T–3rd NCAA Round of 32
1984–85 23–8 8–6 T–4th NCAA Round of 32
B.
2006–2007 11–19 2–14 16th
2007–2008 13–19 8–10 10th CBI 1st Round
2008–2009 18–14 8–10 10th
2009–2010 19–16 7–11 11th NIT 2nd Round
2010–2011 26–9 11–7 6th NCAA Round of 32
C.
2008–2009 6–25 1–17 11th
2009–2010 10–21 4–14 T–9th
2010–2011 12–20 3–15 11th
2011–2012 27–9 11–7 5th NCAA Sweet Sixteen
2012–2013 25–5 13–4
D.
1986–87 9–19 3–13 T–8th
1987–88 20–14 4–12 9th NIT Champions
1988–89 18–13 6–10 T–7th NIT Quarterfinals
1989–90 31–6 12–4 T–1st NCAA Elite Eight
1990–91 20–11 9–7 3rd
E.
2001–2002 19–13 7–9 5th NIT Quarterfinals
2002–2003 15–16 8–8 T–3rd NIT 1st Round
2003–2004 18–17 6–10 11th NIT Quarterfinals
2004–2005 24–8 11–5 T–3rd NCAA Sweet Sixteen
2005–2006 28–5 14–2 T–1st NCAA Elite Eight
I could list more examples, but the takeaway I have from the above is that turnarounds, even for programs with good histories, take time. Generally, years 4 and 5 are where you see the surge forward and year 3 is often a step back.
A. Coach K, Duke
B. Cronin, Cincy
C. Crean, Indiana
D. Calhoun, UConn
E. Wright, Nova
What about the other 600 coaches who started off poorly and never improved?
I think you may have missed the point.
Is the point that it's possible Lavin is going to end up like one of those 5 coaches?
Because if that isn't the point, you're correct, I've missed it.
I understood the point as many of the great coaches in the NCAA did not start off winning 20 games a year. It took them time.
UCONN barely had uniforms and balls when Calhoun took over.
But, regardless, 3 of those 5 were at least in the sweet 16 in their 4th season. So if we miss the tournament again
next season, then is it ok to criticize coach? If not, how long do we need to wait 212?