If we beat Xavier and win one more, we're in--might be a play-in game, but we're in.
Three total wins eliminates any and all doubt and removes us from play-in game.
RPI is at 37 and will rise with win over top 100 Seton Hall. 31 SOS that will only improve with @Nova, Gtown, and Xavier coming up + @ Marquette and at least one neutral court tournament game.
Xavier is a really huge game. If they win on the road, we'll never be able to catch their RPI, almost certainly surrender 5th place to them, skyrocket them over us on the at-large totem pole. However, a sweep of them will really give us a big advantage in the at-large process, a better RPI, a good chance to finish fifth with control of the tie-breaker, and leave us with two less losses than them.
I understand people are worried about wins because of last season, but there is really no comparing the two years. We finished with a 65 RPI last year. We are an Xavier win at MSG away from being inside 30 this year.