If these kids played baseball or hockey they'd already be in the minors. Let them take their shot, if that's what they want. The odds of any one guy making and sticking in the NBA are real slim anyway.
To each his own.
In baseball you have a choice. You can drafted then decide to sign (you know the offer from the team) or go to school.
In basketball and football you don't have that choice
Understood, I don't think they vastly overestimate where they'll get drafted though. The Harrisons are second round picks whether they come out this year or next year.
the scouts look for potential, not necessarily production. They can be all americans next year and still be far behind Malik Newman and other more raw players.
Trey lyles averaged 8pts a game, and he'll be a top 10 pick.
I think some kids used to overestimate where they would get drafted. Omar Cook types.
But now, I think there are a lot of kids who are just done going to school, and are going to play basketball next year wherever they land. Europe and the Dleague are viable options to these kids.