Tomorrow afternoon’s matchup with Cincinnati is one in which St. John’s is not the only team to have had their season affected by an event that transcended their on-court performance.
While the Bearcats have changed their style of play and gone with a smaller unit on the floor en route to winning their last seven games since the brawl that ended their “Crosstown Shootout” with archrival Xavier, the Johnnies have struggled to find their way in the absence of head coach Steve Lavin.
While the Red Storm have won four games since Lavin’s last appearance on the bench in November, the team has also lost five against stiffer competition.
Each meeting with Cincinnati usually goes down to the wire if recent memory is any indication, and every year provides an intriguing matchup for better or worse when the Johnnies and Bearcats collide. JohnnyJungle.com will shed some light on the front end of a home-and-home series (the fourth between these two programs in the last five years) taking place in Ohio first before the two sides meet again next month under the bright lights of Madison Square Garden.
Date: Saturday, January 7, 2012
Location: Fifth Third Arena; Cincinnati, Ohio
Time: 2:00 PM EST
TV: MSG/ESPN3 (Tom Gelehrter, John Celestand)
Radio: WBBR 1130 AM (John Minko, Tim O’Toole)
St. John’s Red Storm (7-7, 1-2)
Head Coach: Steve Lavin* (2nd season at STJ; 28-19, 173-97 overall)
*- Assistant coach Mike Dunlap will serve as interim coach while Lavin recovers from offseason prostate cancer surgery
Projected Starting Lineup:
G Phil Greene (6-2 Fr., 6.4 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 31% FG, 73% FT, 2.2 APG, 1.2 SPG)
G D’Angelo Harrison (6-3 Fr., 15.9 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 38% FG, 32% 3pt, 82% FT, 2.1 APG, 1.8 SPG)
F Sir’Dominic Pointer (6-5 Fr., 7.0 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 46% FG, 49% FT, 1.1 APG, 1.4 SPG)
F Moe Harkless (6-8 Fr., 15.4 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 45% FG, 68% FT, 1.7 APG, 1.7 BPG, 1.6 SPG)
F God’sgift Achiuwa (6-8 Jr., 11.7 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 53% FG, 74% FT, 1.1 BPG)
Key Reserves:
G Malik Stith (5-11 Jr., 3.4 PPG, 1.4 RPG, 42% FG, 33% 3pt, 77% FT, 1.1 APG)
F Amir Garrett (6-6 Fr., 2.0 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 33% FG, 33% FT, 1.0 SPG)
Keys To Victory:
– Command the low post. Cincinnati has flourished under a smaller lineup since the fracas against Xavier, which will give the Red Storm numerous opportunities to establish themselves under the boards. Moe Harkless will likely be the go-to guy inside since God’sgift Achiuwa has been more of a high post threat early on for St. John’s. The keys will be the ability of Phil Greene and D’Angelo Harrison to find an open man inside rather than pull up and take contested shots against a Cincinnati team that shoots 38 percent from three-point range.
– Come out firing. When St. John’s is able to dictate the pace and employ their transition game for forty minutes, the results have been nothing but positive for the Red Storm. If St. John’s can use their press defense to catch a small Bearcats lineup that averages under twelve turnovers a night off guard, a projected rock fight to begin with gets even harder to break offensively.
The one-man show. That’s what D’Angelo Harrison has been in recent games. Now the team’s leading scorer with an average of just under sixteen points per game; the sharpshooting Texan has broken the 20-point barrier four times this season, most recently in the Red Storm’s last game against Louisville. Don’t count on him to have an outing like his 25-point, seven-assist effort against Providence last week; but if he can get just one or two open looks in this game, it might be all St. John’s needs to come away from a tough road matchup victorious.
Trying to thwart any chance of a Red Storm victory is a squad looking for their eighth consecutive win after switching to a new offensive philosophy.
Cincinnati Bearcats (12-3, 2-0)
Head Coach: Mick Cronin (6th season at UC; 99-80, 168-104 overall)
Projected Starting Lineup:
G Cashmere Wright (6-0 Jr., 10.9 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 44% FG, 36% 3pt, 61% FT, 5.3 APG, 1.8 SPG)
G Dion Dixon (6-3 Sr., 13.9 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 40% FG, 70% FT, 1.9 APG, 1.5 SPG)
G Jaquon Parker (6-3 Jr., 11.9 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 54% FG, 64% 3pt, 83% FT, 1.8 APG)
G Sean Kilpatrick (6-4 So., 15.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 44% FG, 40% 3pt, 75% FT, 1.8 APG, 1.6 SPG)
F Justin Jackson (6-8 So., 5.2 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 51% FG, 53% FT, 1.7 BPG, 1.1 SPG)
Key Reserves:
F Yancy Gates (6-9 Sr., 12.7 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 46% FG, 67% 3pt, 50% FT, 1.0 APG, 1.3 BPG)
G Jeremiah Davis (6-3 Fr., 4.2 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 47% FG, 47% 3pt, 50% FT)
G Ge’Lawn Guyn (6-1 Fr., 3.4 PPG, 0.9 RPG, 41% FG, 39% 3pt, 60% FT, 1.0 APG)
Keys To Victory:
– Four quick. The four-guard lineup perfected by Jay Wright at Villanova has found a home at Cincinnati in the wake of the Crosstown Shootout fight that has changed this team for the better. Mick Cronin’s Bearcats have won seven consecutive games playing smaller than they may have envisioned, and leading the charge in that streak has been the emergence of guard Jaquon Parker. Described as a prototypical “glue guy” by college basketball insider Jon Rothstein, Parker has averaged twelve points and six rebounds per game with a style of play that belies his 6-3 frame. In addition, Parker has got it done offensively to the tune of shooting percentages of 54 from the field, 64 from beyond the arc, and 83 at the free throw line.
– New York state of mind. White Plains native Sean Kilpatrick has been the go-to guy Cronin expected him to be at Big East media day in October, when the coach said his guard was going to have a breakout season. Kilpatrick has not disappointed yet; and will be looking for yet another big game tomorrow against the Red Storm, perhaps a late birthday present for the sophomore, who turns 22 today.
– Ace in the hole. Say what you want about Yancy Gates’ maturity, (or lack thereof depending on how you feel about him) but never question his talent on the court. In nine contests before and after his six-game suspension, the homegrown senior forward has averaged just under 13 points and slightly over nine rebounds per game to offset below average shooting percentages for most forwards his size. Gates has not been the defensive force this year that most fans grew accustomed to seeing him as in years past, which helps St. John’s in the paint if it takes him a few minutes to get underway on that side of the ball.
So, Who Wins?
This game will be a rock fight, plain and simple. Each of the last three meetings between these two schools has featured a final score where neither team was able to break the 60-point barrier. However, the Bearcats have won four of the last six against St. John’s; and will look to avenge a bitter home defeat at the hands of the Red Storm this past February, when Malik Boothe and Justin Brownlee converted from the foul line to lift St. John’s to victory despite being held without a field goal for the final nine minutes. Both teams have had the advantage of playing in games with outcomes similar to what will be seen Saturday; but St. John’s has been in this situation more often against stronger competition, and although they have not always won these games, they come out on top here by a razor-thin margin on a day where the first one to 50 will win.
Final Score: St. John’s 55, Cincinnati 54