Don't think you can underestimate the impact of the success of last years team on the newcomers - and by success, I don't mean just wins and losses. I mean attitude, perception, confidence, fan support, admin support, media support, community support. When coach Lavin's team failed int the past, it wasn't for lack of talent - it was because the atmostphere around the program had turned toxic - and it took 2-3 years for talented players to recover and remember they WERE talented and COULD be successful (Steve's 2003 10-18 team started 4 future NBA players, had four other future NBDL players. Many of those players would go 11-17 the following year. But as seniors, Ced Bozeman and Ryan Hollins were starting in the NCAA title game....
Again, last year's success has bought TIME for these newcomers - they can start out slow without the community turning on them. Coach Lavin can play hi s early season mix-and-match substitutions and starters without the excessive and even crippling second guessing that could have followed a LOSING season in his first year - fans have already seen there a successful method to the madness.
I expect the team to start slow, but finish very strong. 22 or 23 wins, and a return to the NCAAs.
I can't find the link at the moment, but on a UCLA board, a rankingof JC prospects was posted showing Bruin recruit De'End Parker is the #4 ranked Juco coming into D-1 this year. It had to hurt them to post the article, as it also showed that Steve Lavin and St. Johns has the #2 prospect coming in Nurideen Lindsey.
Last years team reached the NCAAs (and finished fourth in the Big East) with only ONE player who was ranked in the top 100 of their clas coming out of high school. This years squad will have SEVEN (and possibly 8, depending on where Greene's final ranking comes in), as well as a first team JC All American (and possibly 2, if God's Gift arrives). We're not just going to have top 100 talent at EVERY position, we're going to have top 100 talent BACKING UP every position as well.