Assuming that you could have made the schedule in an ideal world: how many losses do you think it would benefit SJ to have going into conference play?
The point is not having a certain amount of losses, it's about having opportunities to pick up good wins. When scheduling games where you can pick up good wins, that usually means those are against teams that can beat you. Losses to Kansas, @Indiana and Wisconsin won't hurt you, but beating them would definitely help beyond just adding a 1 to the W column. Losses to Cal, VCU, Georgia Tech would hurt, and those wins are pretty much only adding a number before the dash.
Marquette's remaining "perfect" OOC schedule comprises four quite loseable good home losses against Louisville, K St, Wisconsin and Buffalo (the latter three ranked) and four pretty much garbage wins against Charleston, UTEP, North Dakota, and Southern. All eight games are at home and they should be favored in each. If they split the four good loss games (obviously they could win all four) and sweep the garbage that makes them carry the one 9-4 going into conference play, having played one road game, a loss, and having lost three at home, and having two quality wins and three good losses. They'd have 18 conference games left, meaning they need to go 11-7 to win 20. Is that about where you'd like SJ to be? Having lost half as many games as they've won and having to win twice as many as they lose to win 20? That is, IOW, with 2/3's of their wins comprising garbage, and a couple of quality wins and a couple of quality losses and one road game out of 13?
Yes, Marquette pretty much has 7 slam-dunk wins on their schedule. That's probably a good number. The other 6 games range from 2 likely losses which are essentially freerolls (Kansas, @Indiana), 2 true toss ups (Wisconsin + Kansas State at home) and 2 small favorites (Louisville neutral, Buffalo home).
If you go 3-3 in those 6 games, that's not great, but still pretty good. Even 2-4 isn't a backbreaker by any stretch of the imagination. Any worse and you're probably not good enough to achieve anything anyway.
Compare that to our schedule. We have 1 likely loss (@Duke), 0 true toss ups, 1 small favorite (@Rutgers), 2 moderate favorite (VCU + Georgia Tech) and 9 slam-dunk wins.
Marquette pretty much has 6 chances to pick up wins better than any of ours. So even if they go 2-4, those 2 wins are better than any of ours.
I'd rather be 13-0 or 12-1, where .500 ish in conference (and if they go .500 in conference what difference does it make if they make the tournament, they'll get bounced in the first round) and a BE tournament win gives them 23 or 24 wins in one of the top three conferences in the country.
Let's assume we go 12-1 and Marquette goes 10-3 in OOC. If both teams then go 10-10 in the BE regular season + tournament, they would be in a better spot than we are in terms of the NCAA Tournament, probably by a solid amount.
Marquette also has margin for error where we don't. Anything worse than 12-1 for us hurts because those would then be bad losses. If we go 10-3 in OOC we'd need to win 12-13 BE games at least to re-enter the NCAA Tournament conversation. Marquette just has to go .500 in the BE with a 10-3 OOC record.
Also, while the BE was certainly a top 3 conference the past few years, that just isn't the case this year. The ACC, B10 and SEC are solidly ahead of the BE this year. The league is down this year. That's another reason why the weak OOC schedule especially hurts this year.
PS Marquette is currently 35th at KenPom and SJU is currently 44th, shirley that must be a mistake.
Doesn't this kind of prove my point? We are 5-0, they are 3-2 and yet they are ranked higher.
My entire point is that this is by far the best SJU roster since Ron Artest was named Ron Artest. If the goal and expectation for this team is to be an 9 seed and either lose in the first round or win and then get throttled by the 1 seed, then this schedule is fine. We also may as well move to the NEC as we'll never achieve anything worthwhile again if that's all we're shooting for this year. The goal for this team should be a 4-5 seed and a Sweet 16. It will be much more difficult to achieve that if you don't have any good non-conference wins.