3/13/15 Championship and Bubble Games:
Championships:
None
Bubble games:
Wyoming @ Boise State (25-7) - pretty sure Boise is in already, but I figure better to be safe than sorry.
UCLA (20-12) @ Arizona - I think UCLA needs this game. They are 2-7 vs the top 50, and 5-9 vs the top 100 with three not so great losses. The only thing going for them is just about everyone around them lost already.
Georgia (20-10) @ South Carolina - Weird profile. No top 50 wins (0-5), but 10 wins in the 51-100 range making them 10-8 vs the top 100 to go along with two pretty bad losses. Are they in already? Probably depends who you ask. To those who have them out, a win here likely doesn't change that.
George Washington (21-11) @ Rhode Island (21-8) - Both were assumed to be dead, but I think if either one makes it to the finals, they might sneak in.
Houston @ Tulsa (21-9) - Tulsa is one of those teams loving what they are seeing, but they still need to take care of business, starting with Houston.
Indiana (20-12) @ Maryland - If you ignore the way they ended the season and just look at the overall profile, Indiana should be in. A win here locks it up for sure.
Stephen F Austin (24-4) @ Northwestern St - SFA has a few top 100 wins and one bad loss. A loss in their tournament would be a second bad loss. Their per possession numbers are very solid (KP = 41), as are their RPI and BPI (42, 56). Will the committee keep them in the field with a loss? It's possible, but they should play it safe and win their tourney to avoid being in Murray State's shoes.
Richmond (19-12) @ VCU - The A10 teams that were at the bottom or off the bubble have suddenly found themselves back on. A run to the finals might get Richmond in.
Memphis @ Temple (22-9)- Temple's profile looks a little better with La Tech moving into the top 50. Still have that bad loss @ St. Joe's (bad on paper, any committee members familiar with the rivalry will realize a two point loss @ St. Joe's isn't as bad as it looks). A win against Memphis will put them above .500 against the top 100, which is always a good place to start.
La Salle @ Davidson (23-6) - I don't see the committee leaving out the regular season A-10 champion, especially with two top 50 wins and being 8-4 vs the top 100. But, let's put em on the page anyway.
*Bold means in. Bold with underline or Italics means near the bubble (underlined meaning probably on the right side of the bubble)