Bubble Watch

Boise St just lost. I think they steal  Bid anyway

Nova going to be the 2nd 1 seed and get east bracket? With both Duke and Virginia losses

Boise St just lost. I think they steal  Bid anyway

I would give them a 4 seed. In the NIT. Lost respect for anyone that voted them into the top 25. They have no place there, yet.

Palm has us as a 7 seed playing Purdue, then, possibly Gonzaga with a win...

Palm has us as a 7 seed playing Purdue, then, possibly Gonzaga with a win...

I'd sign up for that.

Connecticut is gonna win the American.

SJU, Dayton,Purdue, BYU, Temple,Ok st should be in. Rest have work to do I would think

  NC State is a lock with wins over Duke, Lou, and NC

What happens if X beatsNova tonite?  Are we still in?

What happens if X beatsNova tonite?  Are we still in?

Definitely still in. I think that might be a good thing for the johnnies. That win might put Xavier's rpi into the top 25. Then the johnnies would have 5 top 25 wins (assuming gtown and pc both stay in the top 25 with their losses).

Nova going to be the 2nd 1 seed and get east bracket? With both Duke and Virginia losses

I was thinking that.  Some people already had them there.  Might still go to Virginia.  All three of their losses were to top 20 teams.

3/14/15 - Championship and Bubble Games

Championships:

America East: Stony Brook @ Albany -

MEAC: Hampton @ Delaware State -

C-USA: Middle Tennessee @ UAB -

Ivy playoff:  Harvard @ Yale -

Big 12: Iowa State @ Kansas -

MWC: Wyoming @ SD State -

MAC: Buffalo @ Central Michigan -

Big East: Xavier @ Villanova -

ACC: UNC @ Notre Dame -

Big Sky: E Washington @ Montana -

Southland: Sam Houston @ Stephen F Austin -

PAC 12: Oregon @ Arizona -

WAC: Seattle U @ New Mexico St -

Big West: Hawaii @ UC Irvinge -

Potential Bid Thieves: Wyoming, possibly Sam Houston


Bubble games:

Georgia (21-10) @ Arkansas - I think Georgia is in, but, I'll put em here just in case

Rhode Island (22-8) @ Dayton - I erroneously left them off my bracketology, but a win here and they might be in.

UConn (19-13) @ Tulsa (22-9) - I think I'm starting to hate the AAC more than the ACC.  Is that weird?

Sam Houston @ Stephen F Austin (28-4) - I think the committee might put em in with a loss...all bubble teams should be rooting hard for SFA

Turns out the SWAC final is meaningless.  Southern is on probation, so Texas Southern has already earned the bid, regardless of the outcome.  Congratulations to Texas Southern (they're the ones who beat Michigan State at MSU).

Palm has us as a 7 seed playing Purdue, then, possibly Gonzaga with a win...

7-10 is a crapshoot and trying to figure out how we might play against anyone could make you dizzy but doesn't Purdue play two 7 foot guys? That could be a....bit of a problem for us

Quote from: Section 9 on March 14, 2015, 07:22:29 AM

What happens if X beatsNova tonite?  Are we still in?

Definitely still in. I think that might be a good thing for the johnnies. That win might put Xavier's rpi into the top 25. Then the johnnies would have 5 top 25 wins (assuming gtown and pc both stay in the top 25 with their losses).

Not so sure, that would mean BE gets six bids.  X closes on a hot streak and we get blown out in our last two, committee looks at that.  I'll be more comfortable if Nova kills tonite.

Quote from: apesNapes on March 14, 2015, 08:23:50 AM

Quote from: Section 9 on March 14, 2015, 07:22:29 AM

What happens if X beatsNova tonite?  Are we still in?

Definitely still in. I think that might be a good thing for the johnnies. That win might put Xavier's rpi into the top 25. Then the johnnies would have 5 top 25 wins (assuming gtown and pc both stay in the top 25 with their losses).

Not so sure, that would mean BE gets six bids.  X closes on a hot streak and we get blown out in our last two, committee looks at that.  I'll be more comfortable if Nova kills tonite.

I understand the last two St.Johns games were bad...but you have to look at their whole resume and compare it to other teams in the 8 - 12 seed talk.  They are in, it's just a matter of seeding.

I think the committee used to look at end of year trend, but now the policy is a win is a win...early or late.

  NCAA GRUDGE MATCH.. St John's vs................. Robert MORRIS..

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/do-conference-tournament-surprises-carry-over-into-the-ncaa-bracket/

Nate Silver and team basically conclude that there isn't a strong correlation between conference tournament momentum and success in the NCAA tournament.

What happens if X beatsNova tonite?  Are we still in?

We're in.  Relax.  It's all about seeding now.

Quote from: Section 9 on March 14, 2015, 07:22:29 AM

What happens if X beatsNova tonite?  Are we still in?

We're in.  Relax.  It's all about seeding now.

Been looking at all the experts brackets. Most have us 7-9. Absolute worst case scenario is a 10. We can relax. If we were to not get in it would be the biggest selection sunday surprise  in my lifetime.