You think a coach with decades of experience can’t beat a non-top 50 team from an inferior conference with a bad record out of conference against D-1 teams the last few years?
As of today, Vermont would be favored on a neutral court against: UConn, Stanford, Arizona State, Wake Forest, St. John's, Northwestern, Temple, Boston College, Utah, UCLA, Nevada, UCF, Nebraska, Washington State, Vanderbilt and Cal just to name a few. Stop thinking conference affiliation matters to how good a team is, it doesn't.