Running with quotes from Zags article...how many wins to be an NCAA tourney team? Would 17 or 18 get us in. Still means we need at least 5 wins..and we can't have any more of those 25 point losses either.
http://www.zagsblog.com/2011/01/30/to-go-dancing-st-johns-still-has-work-ahead/“It’s a big feather in their cap,” Jerry Palm, the operator of CollegeRPI.com, said by phone. “I guess it’s their best win of the year. This is a team that had lost five out of six. It’s huge in that it stops the bleeding. But there’s a lot of word for this team to do. This is just a really good win.”
St. John’s now owns a road win over West Virginia and home wins over Duke, then-No. 13 Georgetown and then-No. 9 Notre Dame.
But they also suffered early-season losses to Atlantic 10 bottom-feeders Fordham and St. Bonaventure.
“There’s not a lot of margin for error for these guys,” Palm said.
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Looking down the schedule, Palm said he sees only three St. John’s games in which St. John’s “will probably be favored” – Rutgers, DePaul and South Florida at home.
Even assuming the Johnnies win those three games, that only brings them to 15 total regular-season victories.
“If you finish the season with 15 regular-season wins, it isn’t going to make it,” Palm said. “Fifteen ain’t gonna get it done.”
Palm figures it will take at least 18 wins to make it, and even that number is a moving target.
“You’re probably going to need at least 18,” he said. “Hardly anybody gets an at-large bid with less than 18.”
That would mean finding six more wins over the last 10 games, a stretch that includes games at UCLA, at Cincinnati, at Marquette, at Villanova and at Seton Hall, and home tilts with UConn and No. 2 Pitt.
Still, Lavin said the Big East is so strong that a team that finishes ninth, 10th or 11th could still deserve an at-large bid to the Big Dance. The Big East is now 6-1 against Top 10 teams not in the conference.