what Needs to happen
First, several players who were completely awful last year need to getter better. For example Dom Pointless and Phil Greene, who stank, they'll have to not stink. Gazundheit Achiewa will need to perform against Division 1 teams with the same aplomb that he does against Division 3 teams. These players as a group will have to shoot better than .28 percent from 3, higher than 40 percent from the floor, and manage more than 10 assists a game.
Second, his year's freshmen class will have to play much better much faster than last year's heralded freshman class, which included a first round NBA draft pick and a player some fans here claim is the best player in the BE. You may recall that last year's heralded freshman class team won 13 of the 32 games it played. So all of the new freshman will have to perform at a much higher level than a rational fan would expect them to perform and they will have to adapt to college with a wisdom and maturity than many 18 year olds don't possess.
Third someone will have to step in and replace Mike Dunlap, last I heard a tactical and logistical genius. Perhaps its this new guy who has never before coached a day in his life. And TGAPL will have to prove that his .350 winning percentage this century is a fluke and that he is in fact able to win games without Norm Roberts players.
Finally several other players and teams in the BE will need to get considerably worse. Ideally most of the very good players would be declared academically ineligible and several HOF coaches would be banned from the sport forever. But that seems unlikely. Perhaps though the Carrier Dome will get swallowed up in a giant sink hole taking NY's team with it and Kentucky will secede from the union. That would improve SJ chances immeasurably.
So to recap. In order for SJ to win the BE calamity would have to befall the top half of the league and SJ players and staff would need to overachieve.