Control the boards and attack the rim all night, and SJU will win. But I don't think Lavin is coaching these guys to consistently attack the rim in the half-court - except for the one on one plays by Jordan and Branch when the clock is running out, and the occasional pump fake move by Sanchez, the team usually goes for a jump shot when in the half court game. Creighton has struggled against athletic teams that beat them up on the boards and draw fouls.
I expect to see more of Gift tonight to help on the boards, and not much of Obekpa because McDermott and Wraggie are stretch post players.
Also Kar needs to be very aggressive and use his talents to outshine their forwards, not only in driving to the basket but also in boxing out McDermott and Wraggie.
That said, I think soemthing like 80-71, Creighton wins.