Next years presumable roster can be compared to lavin's 3rd year presumed roster (Sanchez & Marco + all the fresh and sophs) IMO. Let's see how those results come out.
Not really, Mase, because this staff only had 90 days to recruit their first class. Lavin had a year. So Mullin is a year behind the curve. And now they have fewer roster spots for their next classes, which of course, they have more time to recruit.
Just talking about the rosters. Not how long it took to get them.
No way, it's not fair to compare a roster, that had to be cobbled together in 90days, with one that was done in a year and had top 100 guys on it. You can't compare those rosters.
Exactly. Mullin had 3 months to put together the 2015 class and 15 months for the 2016 class. Lavin had 15 months to build his massive class, therefor Mullin should have similar (but a bit higher) expectations for next year as Lavin had for Harkless' year. To me, realistic goal is somewhere around low NIT team next year.
Lavin's big class wasn't close to an NIT, went 13-19 (6-12 conference) that first year (which I would say was an overachievement) but only had those 7 scholarship players.
I'd say its realistic to expect a better year next year than 2011-12 because of the 2nd year guys, but expecting a jump to the NCAA tournament is unfair and unrealistic given the fact that Lavin's major group didn't make it till year 4 and friendofjohnnie is validating the job he did.
What is fair in terms of judging Mullin is to judge what he is building here. Lavin by year 3, (technically, his 2nd season with his players, and his 1st season coaching his players) had Greene/Branch, Harrison, Pointer, Sampson and Obekpa, and the season went from a Lunardi predicted 7 seed to completely falling apart in embarrassing fashion.
Mullins team of one talented, but raw player in Yakwe and a load of crap has actually overachieved lately IMO. They should be getting killed by everyone because they are so slow and careless, but somehow, these last 3 games have been particularly impressive. I was hard on Mullin at first when I saw guys like Johnson, Mvouika and Mussini dogging it, but overall, this team has come together in what I can only say is the best of their ability. And that is worth something, even if it doesn't show up on paper.
Lavin's teams, by March, were done. All 5 of them. Better than Norm, without question, but that is not the bar we're striving to reach.